Model accuracy tracker — SALCI score vs actual K totals · 2026 season · all tracked starters
1,856 starts on record · 1,803 settled · 53 pending · 73 dates covered · Mar 25 → Jun 5
How close SALCI's projected strikeouts land vs. actual — this is model prediction accuracy across every tracked starter, not betting results. For the bets we actually post, see the Track Record tab.
Model Calibration · all tracked starters
82%
Floor Hit Rate
1482/1803 starters
46%
Proj Hit Rate
837/1803 starters
-0.1K
Avg Delta
actual − projected
51
Avg SALCI
1856 starts
Last 30d: 82% floor · 46% proj · -0.2K · 775 starts
Daily Accuracy
How often actual Ks beat the Floor and Projected lines, per day
Fri, Jun 5
Ryan Weathers
pending
Christian Scott
pending
Jesús Luzardo
pending
Parker Messick
pending
Trey Yesavage
pending
Brandon Sproat
pending
Bryan Woo
pending
Roki Sasaki
pending
Martín Pérez
pending
Zebby Matthews
pending
Jack Perkins
pending
Michael King
pending
Drew Rasmussen
pending
Foster Griffin
pending
Peter Lambert
pending
Michael Wacha
pending
Sonny Gray
pending
Robbie Ray
pending
Ryan Gusto
pending
Kyle Leahy
pending
Edward Cabrera
pending
Framber Valdez
pending
Ryan Feltner
pending
Mitch Keller
pending
Kumar Rocker
pending
Anthony Kay
pending
Brandon Young
pending
Merrill Kelly
pending
Brady Singer
pending